Matriz GE-McKinsey
FORTALEZAALTA PRIORIDADATRACTIVAOPORTUNIDADVIABLEEMERGENTE
Alta PrioridadAtractivaOportunidadViable
Pulsa una ciudad para ver detalle · Tamaño = TAM
Heatmap por estado
bajoalto
Pareto de mercado · WPC
top 25 de 109Bars: TAM por plaza · Línea: % acumulado sobre Σ 109 plazas modeladas (2,534.6 MDP = 65% del TAM nacional Mordor 3,900.0 MDP). El Pareto 80/20 se cruza en la plaza #30 (28% del universo modelado).
Top 5
44% del modelado
Pareto 80%
30 plazas
Cola larga
79 plazas para 20%
Panorama nacional · WPC
México · Mordor Intelligence · IMARC · CAMIC — vista nacional product-aware
TAM nacional
3,900.0 MDP
USD 211 M · 2025
CAGR histórico 5y
8.2%
2020 – 2025
CAGR forecast 2030
7.1%
IMARC + Mordor
TAM 2030 proyectado
5,495.6 MDP
+40.9% vs 2025
Marcas líderes nacional
| Marca | Share | Segmento | HQ | Tiendas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trex | 26.0% | Premium | USA | 50 |
| TimberTech | 18.0% | Premium | USA | 35 |
| NewTechWood | 14.0% | Medio-Premium | USA | 28 |
| Eva-Last | 9.5% | Medio | Sudáfrica | 20 |
| Importados (China) | 20.0% | Económico | Varios | — |
| Otros | 12.5% | Varios | Varios | — |
Distribución por región
Centro
38.2M hab
32%
Occidente
19.5M hab
18%
Noreste
14.3M hab
15%
Noroeste
14.1M hab
12%
Sureste
12.6M hab
10%
Sur
15.7M hab
8%
Bajío
4.0M hab
5%
Distribución aproximada · proporcional a actividad construcción + población
Drivers
- Mercado outdoor premium (decks, terrazas) crece +8% anual
- Hospitality boutique especifica WPC capped vs madera tropical
- Sustentabilidad: WPC reciclado certificado FSC
Riesgos
- Mercado dominado por marcas USA (Trex, TimberTech)
- Penetración baja fuera de hospitality y residencial alto
- Confusión con WPC económico chino (mala reputación)
Oportunidades
- Hotelería en zonas costeras (Riviera Maya, Los Cabos)
- Línea premium capped con garantía 25 años
- Mercado B2B arquitectura paisajista emergente
Fuentes: Mordor Intelligence 2026 · IMARC · IndexBox · CAMIC · constantes nacionales 2025
Datos NACIONALES (Mordor 2026). La presencia por estado/plaza requiere primary research.
Fuente: Mordor Intelligence MX 2026 · Granularidad: Nacional · Presencia por estado/plaza requiere primary research
Marimekko · marcas × tier de precio · WPC
100% nacional cubiertoAncho de columna proporcional a la presencia de tier · cada bloque proporcional a la presencia de marca dentro del tier.
Económico · 20.0%
Importados (China) lidera (20.0%)
1 marca en tier
Medio · 22.0%
Otros lidera (12.5%)
2 marcas en tier
Premium · 58.0%
Trex lidera (26.0%)
3 marcas en tier
Lujo · 0.0%
—
0 marcas en tier
109 resultados
| # | Ciudad | Estado | Población | Tamaño | TAM | Score↓ | Temp. | Atractivo | Facilidad | Líder marca · presencia | Veredicto |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ZMVM (Valle de México) | Ciudad de México | 12,503,591 | metrópoli | 464.0 MDP | 60.0 | FRIO21 | 67.0 | 44.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 02 | ZM Monterrey | Nuevo León | 3,690,496 | metrópoli | 148.2 MDP | 56.0 | TIBIO43 | 64.0 | 36.0 | Interceramic100% | ATRACTIVA |
| 03 | ZM Querétaro | Querétaro | 1,508,035 | metrópoli | 43.4 MDP | 52.0 | TIBIO41 | 57.0 | 40.0 | Interceramic80% | VIABLE |
| 04 | ZM Guadalajara | Jalisco | 4,846,910 | metrópoli | 124.8 MDP | 51.0 | TIBIO51 | 58.0 | 35.0 | Interceramic70% | OPORTUNIDAD |
| 05 | ZM Toluca | Estado de México | 1,152,915 | plaza grande | 26.2 MDP | 51.0 | TIBIO49 | 53.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 06 | ZM León | Guanajuato | 2,198,766 | metrópoli | 71.0 MDP | 50.0 | FRIO26 | 54.0 | 43.0 | Sin data marca | ATAQUE |
| 07 | ZM Cancún | Quintana Roo | 1,245,303 | plaza grande | 307.0 MDP | 50.0 | FRIO9 | 55.0 | 39.0 | Interceramic100% | FORTALEZA |
| 08 | Los Cabos | Baja California Sur | 351,111 | plaza media | 78.6 MDP | 50.0 | FRIO14 | 52.0 | 44.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 09 | ZM La Laguna | Coahuila | 1,256,592 | plaza grande | 38.0 MDP | 49.0 | FRIO30 | 51.0 | 44.0 | Interceramic100% | ATAQUE |
| 10 | ZM Reynosa-Río Bravo | Tamaulipas | 821,813 | plaza grande | 24.0 MDP | 49.0 | FRIO33 | 43.0 | 57.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 11 | ZM Aguascalientes | Aguascalientes | 1,157,373 | plaza grande | 34.9 MDP | 48.0 | FRIO34 | 51.0 | 42.0 | Vitro Hogar58% | ATAQUE |
| 12 | Hermosillo | Sonora | 936,263 | plaza grande | 31.4 MDP | 48.0 | FRIO19 | 52.0 | 39.0 | Lamosa50% | ATAQUE |
| 13 | Saltillo | Coahuila | 879,958 | plaza grande | 26.9 MDP | 48.0 | FRIO37 | 51.0 | 42.0 | Interceramic100% | ATAQUE |
| 14 | ZM Mérida | Yucatán | 1,272,223 | plaza grande | 73.2 MDP | 47.0 | FRIO20 | 50.0 | 39.0 | Sin data marca | FORTALEZA |
| 15 | Chihuahua | Chihuahua | 937,674 | plaza grande | 27.8 MDP | 47.0 | FRIO37 | 50.0 | 40.0 | Interceramic100% | FORTALEZA |
| 16 | Tulum | Quintana Roo | 46,721 | plaza chica | 1.0 MDP | 47.0 | FRIO5 | 40.0 | 57.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 17 | Juárez | Chihuahua | 1,512,354 | metrópoli | 44.8 MDP | 45.0 | FRIO35 | 51.0 | 32.0 | Interceramic100% | FORTALEZA |
| 18 | ZM Matamoros | Tamaulipas | 609,208 | plaza grande | 18.0 MDP | 45.0 | FRIO33 | 41.0 | 52.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 19 | ZM Tijuana | Baja California | 2,049,413 | metrópoli | 73.2 MDP | 43.0 | FRIO28 | 49.0 | 30.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 20 | Mexicali | Baja California | 1,049,792 | plaza grande | 40.0 MDP | 41.0 | FRIO28 | 48.0 | 38.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 21 | ZM Puebla | Puebla | 1,985,062 | metrópoli | 46.1 MDP | 40.0 | FRIO34 | 47.0 | 35.0 | Interceramic57% | VIABLE |
| 22 | Durango | Durango | 688,697 | plaza grande | 20.3 MDP | 40.0 | FRIO10 | 41.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | ATAQUE |
| 23 | ZM San Luis Potosí | San Luis Potosí | 1,243,980 | plaza grande | 23.2 MDP | 39.0 | TIBIO60 | 40.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 24 | Culiacán | Sinaloa | 1,003,530 | plaza grande | 22.2 MDP | 39.0 | FRIO10 | 42.0 | 41.0 | Interceramic100% | ATAQUE |
| 25 | Morelia | Michoacán | 849,053 | plaza grande | 22.3 MDP | 38.0 | FRIO33 | 39.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic75% | VIABLE |
| 26 | Puerto Vallarta | Jalisco | 291,839 | plaza media | 11.7 MDP | 32.0 | TIBIO57 | 54.0 | 52.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 27 | Apaseo el Grande | Guanajuato | 95,418 | plaza chica | 3.0 MDP | 32.0 | FRIO25 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 28 | Chalco | Estado de México | 400,057 | plaza media | 11.0 MDP | 31.0 | TIBIO49 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 29 | San Juan del Río | Querétaro | 297,804 | plaza media | 12.3 MDP | 31.0 | TIBIO58 | 54.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 30 | Othón P. Blanco (Chetumal) | Quintana Roo | 233,648 | plaza media | 52.2 MDP | 30.0 | FRIO7 | 52.0 | 45.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 31 | Irapuato | Guanajuato | 603,730 | plaza grande | 18.0 MDP | 29.0 | TIBIO50 | 50.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic75% | VIABLE |
| 32 | Celaya | Guanajuato | 521,169 | plaza grande | 15.6 MDP | 29.0 | TIBIO43 | 50.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 33 | Cajeme (Cd. Obregón) | Sonora | 433,035 | plaza media | 14.5 MDP | 29.0 | FRIO28 | 50.0 | 46.0 | Sin data marca | FORTALEZA |
| 34 | La Paz | Baja California Sur | 292,241 | plaza media | 56.6 MDP | 29.0 | FRIO7 | 51.0 | 45.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 35 | Guanajuato | Guanajuato | 198,431 | plaza media | 5.9 MDP | 28.0 | TIBIO47 | 48.0 | 55.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 36 | Arandas | Jalisco | 55,103 | plaza chica | 2.2 MDP | 26.0 | FRIO32 | 51.0 | 52.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 37 | ZM Tampico | Tamaulipas | 915,813 | plaza grande | 8.0 MDP | 24.0 | FRIO35 | 41.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 38 | Tepic | Nayarit | 425,924 | plaza media | 26.8 MDP | 22.0 | FRIO28 | 35.0 | 50.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 39 | Ensenada | Baja California | 443,807 | plaza media | 16.9 MDP | 21.0 | FRIO23 | 46.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 40 | Acapulco | Guerrero | 779,566 | plaza grande | 39.2 MDP | 20.0 | FRIO15 | 32.0 | 50.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 41 | ZM Zacatecas-Guadalupe | Zacatecas | 361,347 | plaza media | 3.6 MDP | 20.0 | FRIO8 | 28.0 | 56.0 | Interceramic50% | FORTALEZA |
| 42 | Salamanca | Guanajuato | 273,271 | plaza media | 9.0 MDP | 20.0 | FRIO25 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 43 | ZM Veracruz-Boca del Río | Veracruz | 751,759 | plaza grande | 14.5 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO15 | 39.0 | 49.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 44 | ZM Cuernavaca | Morelos | 708,604 | plaza grande | 10.2 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO18 | 36.0 | 51.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 45 | ZM Pachuca | Hidalgo | 685,382 | plaza grande | 10.0 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO14 | 36.0 | 55.0 | Vitromex100% | VIABLE |
| 46 | Centro (Villahermosa) | Tabasco | 683,607 | plaza grande | 18.9 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO28 | 41.0 | 46.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 47 | Mazatlán | Sinaloa | 501,441 | plaza grande | 11.1 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO5 | 41.0 | 46.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 48 | Xalapa | Veracruz | 488,531 | plaza media | 11.7 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO8 | 38.0 | 49.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 49 | Los Mochis (Ahome) | Sinaloa | 459,310 | plaza media | 10.2 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO5 | 41.0 | 45.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 50 | Nuevo Laredo | Tamaulipas | 425,058 | plaza media | 11.4 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO33 | 42.0 | 45.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 51 | Ciudad Victoria | Tamaulipas | 372,204 | plaza media | 10.0 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO33 | 41.0 | 45.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 52 | Jerez | Zacatecas | 57,610 | plaza chica | 1.4 MDP | 19.0 | FRIO3 | 26.0 | 64.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 53 | Bahía de Banderas | Nayarit | 187,632 | plaza media | 11.8 MDP | 18.0 | FRIO18 | 34.0 | 54.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 54 | Río Bravo | Tamaulipas | 132,484 | plaza media | 4.0 MDP | 18.0 | FRIO33 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 55 | Matehuala | San Luis Potosí | 102,343 | plaza media | 3.0 MDP | 18.0 | FRIO35 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 56 | Pánuco | Veracruz | 100,887 | plaza media | 3.0 MDP | 18.0 | FRIO8 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 57 | Chilpancingo de los Bravo | Guerrero | 283,354 | plaza media | 14.3 MDP | 17.0 | FRIO3 | 30.0 | 54.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 58 | Calera | Zacatecas | 48,017 | plaza chica | 1.2 MDP | 17.0 | FRIO3 | 25.0 | 52.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 59 | Tuxtla Gutiérrez | Chiapas | 604,147 | plaza grande | 14.5 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO6 | 28.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 60 | Nogales | Sonora | 264,782 | plaza media | 8.9 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO31 | 49.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 61 | Monclova | Coahuila | 237,970 | plaza media | 7.3 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO27 | 48.0 | 47.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 62 | Silao | Guanajuato | 200,190 | plaza media | 6.0 MDP | 16.0 | TIBIO47 | 48.0 | 50.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 63 | Piedras Negras | Coahuila | 175,553 | plaza media | 5.4 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO27 | 48.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 64 | San Miguel de Allende | Guanajuato | 174,615 | plaza media | 5.6 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO25 | 48.0 | 49.0 | Interceramic67% | VIABLE |
| 65 | Navojoa | Sonora | 164,387 | plaza media | 5.5 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO23 | 48.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 66 | Delicias | Chihuahua | 148,045 | plaza media | 4.4 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO30 | 46.0 | 49.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 67 | San Luis de la Paz | Guanajuato | 128,536 | plaza media | 3.8 MDP | 16.0 | FRIO33 | 47.0 | 49.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 68 | Tehuacán | Puebla | 327,312 | plaza media | 8.9 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO20 | 43.0 | 52.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 69 | Campeche | Campeche | 294,077 | plaza media | 7.8 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO6 | 46.0 | 44.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 70 | Carmen | Campeche | 248,845 | plaza media | 6.6 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO6 | 45.0 | 45.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 71 | Atlixco | Puebla | 141,793 | plaza media | 3.9 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO20 | 41.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 72 | Hidalgo del Parral | Chihuahua | 115,230 | plaza media | 3.4 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO30 | 45.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 73 | Rioverde | San Luis Potosí | 95,484 | plaza chica | 2.0 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO35 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 74 | Pueblo Viejo | Veracruz | 60,419 | plaza chica | 2.0 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO8 | — | — | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 75 | Colotlán | Jalisco | 19,000 | plaza chica | < $1 MDP | 15.0 | FRIO32 | 48.0 | 56.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 76 | Coatzacoalcos | Veracruz | 310,698 | plaza media | 7.4 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO13 | 37.0 | 51.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 77 | Cárdenas | Tabasco | 243,229 | plaza media | 6.7 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO3 | 39.0 | 50.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 78 | Comalcalco | Tabasco | 214,877 | plaza media | 5.9 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO10 | 38.0 | 49.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 79 | Zamora | Michoacán | 204,860 | plaza media | 5.4 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO16 | 35.0 | 54.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 80 | Córdoba | Veracruz | 204,721 | plaza media | 4.9 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO11 | 36.0 | 53.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 81 | Lázaro Cárdenas | Michoacán | 196,003 | plaza media | 5.1 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO33 | 35.0 | 56.0 | Vitromex67% | VIABLE |
| 82 | Manzanillo | Colima | 191,031 | plaza media | 5.9 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO8 | 37.0 | 49.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 83 | Poza Rica | Veracruz | 189,457 | plaza media | 4.5 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO10 | 36.0 | 52.0 | Porcelanite50% | VIABLE |
| 84 | Ciudad Valles | San Luis Potosí | 182,530 | plaza media | 4.7 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO38 | 37.0 | 51.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 85 | Tulancingo de Bravo | Hidalgo | 168,369 | plaza media | 5.3 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO12 | 35.0 | 59.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 86 | Tecate | Baja California | 108,440 | plaza media | 4.1 MDP | 14.0 | TIBIO48 | 43.0 | 47.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 87 | Valladolid | Yucatán | 85,460 | plaza chica | 6.3 MDP | 14.0 | FRIO16 | 44.0 | 45.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 88 | Uruapan | Michoacán | 348,835 | plaza media | 9.1 MDP | 13.0 | FRIO26 | 37.0 | 48.0 | Porcelanite67% | VIABLE |
| 89 | Cuautla | Morelos | 187,118 | plaza media | 5.1 MDP | 13.0 | FRIO5 | 34.0 | 51.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 90 | Colima | Colima | 157,048 | plaza media | 4.8 MDP | 13.0 | FRIO3 | 37.0 | 47.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 91 | Apatzingán | Michoacán | 123,649 | plaza media | 3.2 MDP | 13.0 | FRIO8 | 34.0 | 55.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 92 | Oaxaca de Juárez | Oaxaca | 270,955 | plaza media | 7.0 MDP | 12.0 | FRIO18 | 27.0 | 56.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 93 | Fresnillo | Zacatecas | 241,910 | plaza media | 5.8 MDP | 12.0 | FRIO8 | 29.0 | 56.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 94 | Zihuatanejo de Azueta | Guerrero | 126,001 | plaza media | 6.3 MDP | 12.0 | FRIO3 | 28.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 95 | La Piedad | Michoacán | 99,878 | plaza chica | 2.6 MDP | 12.0 | FRIO8 | 34.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 96 | Tapachula | Chiapas | 351,816 | plaza media | 8.4 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO11 | 27.0 | 53.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 97 | San Cristóbal de las Casas | Chiapas | 215,874 | plaza media | 5.2 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO8 | 26.0 | 55.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 98 | Tuxtepec | Oaxaca | 159,452 | plaza media | 4.1 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO28 | 26.0 | 57.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 99 | Iguala | Guerrero | 152,260 | plaza media | 7.7 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO10 | 28.0 | 51.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 100 | Tlaxcala | Tlaxcala | 99,896 | plaza chica | 2.8 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO6 | 30.0 | 52.0 | Interceramic100% | VIABLE |
| 101 | Huamantla | Tlaxcala | 98,764 | plaza chica | 2.8 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO28 | 30.0 | 54.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 102 | Apizaco | Tlaxcala | 80,725 | plaza chica | 2.3 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO3 | 30.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 103 | Ojocaliente | Zacatecas | 40,259 | plaza chica | 1.0 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO3 | 25.0 | 61.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 104 | Tetla de la Solidaridad | Tlaxcala | 28,876 | plaza chica | < $1 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO3 | 28.0 | 55.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 105 | Jalpa | Zacatecas | 22,456 | plaza chica | < $1 MDP | 11.0 | FRIO3 | 24.0 | 61.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 106 | Juchitán | Oaxaca | 113,570 | plaza media | 2.9 MDP | 10.0 | FRIO5 | 25.0 | 51.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 107 | Salina Cruz | Oaxaca | 84,438 | plaza chica | 2.2 MDP | 10.0 | FRIO3 | 24.0 | 49.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 108 | Huajuapan de León | Oaxaca | 78,313 | plaza chica | 2.0 MDP | 10.0 | FRIO23 | 24.0 | 57.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |
| 109 | Huatulco | Oaxaca | 50,862 | plaza chica | 1.3 MDP | 9.0 | FRIO3 | 23.0 | 48.0 | Sin data marca | VIABLE |